Kalshi Prediction Markets

Every open market is evaluated like a poker hand - calibrated true probability (from Kalshi's own settled-market tape, no history means no edge) versus price plus fees - and playable hands are ranked with quarter-Kelly stakes and explicit risk flags. Portfolio + order placement ride the per-user connector, confirm-gated and demo-exchange-first (KALSHI_LIVE_ENABLED gates live money; every order and refusal audited). The prediction-markets engine, the kalshi connector + broker key, the calibration/forward-test CLIs, and the default tile stay framework-resident; this package is the surface + confirm-gated order routes over them. The scan runs in the BACKGROUND on a cadence configured in the manifest (default hourly) and posts new playable hands to the user's Jarvis feed; the surface serves the last snapshot instantly instead of waiting on a feed walk, and the cadence/alert thresholds are editable from the app's Settings tab.

• Accounts to connect: kalshi. Your token is encrypted per user and consumed by a fixed server operation — the model never sees it.

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